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A Trump-Fueled ‘Wipeout’ for House Republicans in Northeast

Mike Duhaime, a Republican strategist in New Jersey who has labored on nationwide campaigns, mentioned his concern is “we’re shrinking ideologically as a party — and that’s a problem.”

“Some of the diversity of the party is leaving. If we’re going to be competitive in these suburban areas, if we’re going to take back Congress, it is going to have to be in these suburban areas,” Mr. Duhaime mentioned. “And our brand is going to need to be more than just Trump.”

Nowhere was once the fracture with the Trump-led Republican Party stronger than in a swath of rich suburban enclaves in the northeastern a part of New Jersey, the place Mikie Sherrill, a former Navy helicopter pilot and federal prosecutor, defeated her Republican opponent via greater than 12 proportion issues. It was once a surprising margin in a seat that were held for 24 years via Representative Rodney Frelinghuysen, a genteel, average Republican dealmaker who rose to transform the tough chairman of the Appropriations Committee. The district had now not elected a Democrat since former President Ronald Reagan’s management.

Ms. Sherrill’s victory was once one in every of seven for Democrats alongside the so-called Acela hall between Washington and New York: one in Northern Virginia, 3 in the Philadelphia area, 3 in New Jersey and one in New York City. There, Max Rose, a 31-year-old army veteran, ousted Representative Dan Donovan in a district targeted on Staten Island, lengthy a Republican stronghold and the place Mr. Trump had remained slightly common.

John McLaughlin, who served as a pollster for Mr. Trump in 2016 and who was once concerned in House races in 2018, blamed Republican congressional leaders greater than the president for the losses in the area, mentioning the tax invoice in specific as “a policy mistake that hurt many Republicans in the Northeast and others in high income suburbs.”

While the measure reduce taxes around the board, it eradicated the preferred state and native tax deduction this is closely used in the wealthier portions of high-tax states like New York and New Jersey. “The tax cut was good policy to grow the economy and create jobs, but when Republican leadership refused to negotiate a higher cap or phase it out over time, it made many suburban Republicans vulnerable,” Mr. McLaughlin mentioned.

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